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Lessons to be learned from a crisis

This article is reproduced with permission from
Normandy Advisory Services Sdn. Bhd (Licensed Investment Advisor)
15th Floor Menara Multi-Purpose, No 8 Jalan Munshi Abdullah, 50100 Kuala Lumpur
Tel : 03 - 469 5560 Fax : 03 - 294 5561


This article is copyright and no part of it may be reproduced in any form without the prior consent of Normandy Advisory Services


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Very often when you start investing, you find yourself buying in at the top. Then, the markets tumble and you sell - right smack at the bottom. How can you avoid risks like these? If you do not wish to be bothered by strenuous market volatility, consider dollar-cost averaging - an investment strategy that takes advantage of market changes. Dollar cost averaging can be an effective strategy for long-term investment planning.

There is nothing mystical about the strategy. You invest a fixed sum of money regularly regardless of whether the market is up or down. The rationale is the steady investments lets you purchase more shares when the prices are low and less when the prices are high.


TABLE 1

Investment (RM)

Price (RM)

No. of shares acquired

1,000

10.00

100.00

1,000

15.00

66.67

1,000

6.00

166.67

1,000

12.00

83.33




4,000

43.00

416.67




Average market price

10.75

 
Average cost per share

9.60

 
(RM4,000/416.67)

Table 1 shows how this time tested method is able to enhance your investment returns. The formula is the willingness of investors to invest regularly regardless of market trends. When you invest regularly, you can pat yourself on the back for having earned some profits. What happens if the prices go down?

Don't panic and sell, congratulate yourself on the opportunity to pick up some bargains. From the example, over time your average entry cost is RM 9.60 while the average market price was RM 10.75. This method is even more effective if you invest in unit trusts and unit trusts have diversified portfolios and tends to bounce back from market disasters while individual stocks could fall and stay down for years.

In a nutshell, the method of dollar-cost averaging takes the worry out of the ups and downs of the markets. Of course regular investment does not guarantee a profit nor does it completely shield you against a loss in a declining market.




If you are interested in increasing your wealth, take advantage of the power of compounding by reinvesting your distributions. As Einstein once said "the most amazing mathematical phenomenon is the magic of compounding interests".




The recent market volatility should serve as a good lesson for many who used to bet heavily hoping to reap huge rewards from the market. Do not only focus on making money. Learning how not to lose money is more important. Find the causes behind the losses. Losses are inevitable in any investment or business. Although hard to do, some professionals would agree that one must learn how to take losses - not letting the losses get out of hand.

You cannot be right all the time and you have to admit your mistakes. Investors, equipped with all sorts of analysis and forecasts still lose money - there is no single method which guarantees only profits. Many of the world's successful traders have gone bust at least once in their careers.

Making rational investment decisions during market turbulence is difficult even for professionals. It takes years of experience in order to be able to weather stormy periods. Investors with sound financial plans should be able to better protect themselves against the financial storm effectively.

Financial markets are governed by various considerations. In the more developed markets, individuals invest on fundamentals. They look at individual companiesí expected earnings. They look at the price earnings ratios plus other indicators and react to higher interest rates and other relevant economic-related items.

This is not the case for the individuals who tend to persistently bet on rumors. These people mainly driven by emotions tend to lose more over the long-term compared to other types of investors. They are affected by irrational human beings.

Lastly, be fundamental-driven and think long-term when investing it will save you alot of heartache in the long run.

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Reproduced with permission from Normandy Services Sdn Bhd, Email:nassb@po.jaring.my Tel:603-4695560 Fax:603-2945561